Earlier today, the brilliant statisticians at FiveThirtyEight.com, looking at the results of 20 recent polls, reaffirmed their prediction that Hillary Clinton would, with 99% certainty, win the Michigan primary. [Just three days ago, Politico was projecting a 17-point victory for Clinton.] Well, that’s not what happened. Sanders was just declared winner, beating Clinton by 2 […]
Tag Archives: polls
Defying all expectations after being down 20 points in the polls, Bernie Sanders wins the Michigan Democratic primary
In an effort to get to know my readers better, I’ve decided that, on occasion, I will pose simple questions to this site, just to get a sense of what you’re like as a group. Here’s my first question. What’s more likely? For those of you who would like to read up on the evidence […]
I know it’s a difficult thing to quantify, but, this afternoon, while cleaning house, I started thinking about all of the positive things to have happened in Ypsi since I moved back in 2000, and whether or not I could make the case that one of them was more impactful than the rest. “When you […]
After a year in bed with the Koch Brothers, Michigan needs a Schauer…. Snyder launches an unprecedented advertising blitz a full 13 months prior to election day. Does it mean he’s “running scared”?
Yesterday, online ads began running in support of Rick Snyder’s 2014 reelection bid. And, tomorrow, a one-minute television spot will begin airing in select Michigan media markets as well. (According to the Detroit Free Press, it will likely be running in Detroit, Grand Rapids, Flint, Lansing and Traverse City.) As this is a full 13 […]
For those of you who didn’t notice, I’ve added a link at the bottom of the right hand column. When clicked, it will take you to a page where I’ve started collecting all of our Ypsi/Arbor Exit Interviews. I may have missed a few, but I’ve tried, as best that I could, to aggregate them […]