Tag Archives: Nate Silver

Michigan Democratic Primary open thread

Seven states are holding primaries today. And Michigan, with 147 delegates – 125 of which will be allocated on the basis of today’s primary vote – is the biggest prize. So what you do in the voting booth, my fellow Michiganders, is going to be incredibly important. Given that Sanders has apparently ceded the south […]

Posted in Michigan, Politics | Also tagged , , , , , | 135 Comments

Defying all expectations after being down 20 points in the polls, Bernie Sanders wins the Michigan Democratic primary

Earlier today, the brilliant statisticians at FiveThirtyEight.com, looking at the results of 20 recent polls, reaffirmed their prediction that Hillary Clinton would, with 99% certainty, win the Michigan primary. [Just three days ago, Politico was projecting a 17-point victory for Clinton.] Well, that’s not what happened. Sanders was just declared winner, beating Clinton by 2 […]

Posted in Michigan, Politics, Uncategorized | Also tagged , , , , , , , , | 76 Comments

The President can’t affect gas prices, but can gas prices affect the Presidential election?

With the laughable slate of moronic theocrats, disgraced demagogues, corporate villains, and states-rights racists that the Republican party has put forward to run against Obama, I’d say that, barring some epic scandal, Obama is guaranteed a second term… that is, if the price of gas doesn’t exceed $4.50 a gallon. I’ve read Nate Silver’s analysis, […]

Posted in energy, Politics, Uncategorized | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 12 Comments

Romney, hoping to stem the Santorum surge, pretends to drive a car through Detroit in a desperate attempt to connect with Michiganders

Given Rick Santorum’s recent, come-from-behind primary wins, and the fact that Super Tuesday is just a few short weeks away, the February 28 primary in Michigan is shaping up to be more important than anyone could have predicted. According to the most optimistic polling that I’ve seen, Romney, the son of former Michigan Governor George […]

Posted in Detroit, Michigan, Politics, Uncategorized | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

Raising the top marginal tax rate

When I sat down here tonight, in my tattered blogging leotard, my intention was to write something on the apparent effectiveness of Obama’s stimulus spending, and the possibility that his recently proposed budget would “shift $112 billion away from the nation’s top earners in 2012.” But, while trying to find a way to connect those […]

Posted in Economics, Politics | Also tagged , , , , , , , , | 14 Comments

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