With the race tightening in Michigan, it’s time to make a stand against Trump and everything he stands for

A few weeks ago, I mentioned here that I might spend some time working on behalf of the Clinton campaign in either my birth state of Kentucky, where the Republican Governor said not too long ago that patriots may need to shed blood in order to “reclaim” the U.S. if Trump loses, or our neighboring state of Ohio, where a Trump campaign chair not too long ago claimed there was “no racism” during the ’60s, and that black people who haven’t succeeded over the past 50 years only have only themselves to blame. My thinking was that my efforts might be more valuable in one of those more right-leaning states, where, perhaps Democratic canvassers are more hard to come by. Well, now I’m not so sure.

It appears as though the race is tightening in Michigan. According to the folks at FiveThrityEight.com, the latest polling data gives Donald Trump a 20% chance of winning Michigan’s 16 electoral votes. And, it would appear that the Clinton 2016 team is concerned. According to the folks at Bloomberg, the Clinton campaign is not only buying more advertising time in the state, but Clinton herself has changed her plans to spend more time here in hopes of protecting what’s left of her lead, which has dropped considerably since last week’s questionably-timed announcement by F.B.I. Director James B. Comey that he’d be reopening the investigation into the former Secretary of State’s emails, as new evidence has surfaced.

On October 20th, just a little over a week ago, the folks at FiveThirtyEight.com were forecasting that Clinton would get 50.7% of the popular vote here in Michigan, compared to Trump’s 41.2%, giving her a 92.7% chance of taking the state’s 16 electoral votes. Now, though, as you can see in the following graph, they’re calling for Clinton to get 48.7% of the vote to Trump’s 44%. As for why this is happening, I suspect the initial horror of Trump’s “pussy grabber” comment has worn off a bit, allowing the party faithful to once again claim him as their candidate without shame. I also suspect the recent actions of F.B.I. Director Comey, as I noted above, have pushed a few who were reluctantly supporting Clinton to shift their support elsewhere. And perhaps just as importantly, I’ve been reading that there appears to be an enthusiasm gap among African American voters, who have traditionally turned out in large numbers to support Democratic candidates in the past. Regardless of how we got here, though, here’s how things look as of right now according to the folks as FiveThirtyEight.com.

michigantightening

So, with all of that said, I won’t be spending time this week in either Ohio or Kentucky, but focusing instead here at home, where I’ve requested a few days off from work to help with the Clinton campaign. I know it’s difficult to find the time, but, if you’d like to join me, you can find your nearest Clinton campaign office here. Or, if you can’t make the time to help in person, you can donate some money. The important thing is that you do something. This is the fight of our lifetimes, folks, and we owe it to our future generations to stand up and fight. I know it should go without saying, but we cannot allow a man who is self-confessed sexual predator, a xenophobe, a conspiracy theorist, a racist, and a serial liar to lead our country. We just can’t… You do know that, right?

I don’t want to spend too much time right now lamenting the past, and rehashing how it is that we got to this point, as I think we need to focus on the matter at hand, which is getting Clinton into the White House, and banishing Trump and everything he stands for from civil society. But it’s worth noting, I think, that we brought this on ourselves by not standing up against the insanity of the far right sooner. Put very simply, we caused this, and it’s up to us to fix it.

We are just a few days away from the very real possibility of voting a conman turned reality television personality into the highest office in the world, where he’ll have access to our nuclear codes, and we have no one to blame but ourselves. We could have stopped this years ago, but we didn’t. We set all of this in motion, and now it’s up to us to end it. We need to make a stand this week, and put an end to the whole fucking thing once and for all.

We’ve turned a blind eye to all of this kind of nonsense for far too long, and this is where it’s led us. It’s brought us right to the brink… We should have stood up with a united voice years ago and shut this whole thing down, but instead we let it fester. Instead of marching through the streets of DC and stopping it when it would have been relatively easy, we patiently waited, thinking that reason would eventually prevail. We should have fought back when the Republicans first told us that global climate change wasn’t real, putting the future of humanity in peril. But we didn’t. We should have fought back when it became apparent that the Republicans were attempting to delegitimize our first African American president by suggesting that was really an African-born Marxist intent on destroying our country. But we didn’t. We should have fought back when the Republicans gerrymandered the hell out of the American electoral map, making it virtually impossible for them to lose control of our state and local governments, even as the popular vote began to grow against them. But we didn’t. We should have fought back when Fox News started broadcasting lies, convincing an entire generation that, if they wanted to survive, they needed to be more fearful of people not like themselves. But we didn’t. We should have fought back when the Republicans in power told us that corporate money was free speech, allowing the 1% to essentially buy our country outright. But we didn’t. We should have fought back when they started dismantling our public school system, a public school system which, just a few decades before, had produced the engineers that put us on the moon, only to replace it with for-profit charters with no real interest in our kids or our communities. But we didn’t. And we definitely should have fought back when, just a few months ago, the Republicans in the Senate refused to do their Constitutional duty and consider our President’s Supreme Court nominee. But we just continued to sit by and wait for things to get better. We sat by as Donald Trump talked about grabbing pussies and joked about his rival being assassinated. We sat by while he mocked the disabled and said, if he were elected, he’d have his rival thrown in jail, like the dictator of a banana republic. We apparently expected someone else to fix this. The thing is, though, there is no one else. There’s just us. We know that now. We know the problem isn’t going to fix itself. We know that electing a few good people isn’t enough. We know that, to be successful, we need to actually be in the streets, fighting back. And we know that we can’t wait any longer. This is it. This is the point where we either crush the whole paranoid, anti-science, fear-based machine of the far right to dust, or allow them to just take everything we’ve worked so hard for in this country over the past 100 years and destroy it.

We don’t just need to beat Donald Trump next week, we need to banish him from American life, along with every hateful, cruel and violent thought that he conjured out of us. And then we need to build on that victory. This is our moment, and we cannot let our kids down. Not only can we not stay home on election day, but we cannot allow our friends and neighbors to stay home. We need to engage with people like we’ve never engaged before. There’s just too much at risk, and I love my kids too much not to at least try in my small way to set things right. We need to win this thing, and then we need to organize and fight like hell for the kind of government we all deserve.

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29 Comments

  1. Posted November 2, 2016 at 10:49 pm | Permalink

    I just want to get this over with. This election has made my terrible life all that more terrible.

  2. Kat
    Posted November 2, 2016 at 10:54 pm | Permalink

    According to fivethirtyeight.com, Michigan is the third most likely state, after Florida and Pennsylvania, of being the “tipping point”.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

  3. Posted November 2, 2016 at 11:35 pm | Permalink

    Interesting.

  4. Posted November 3, 2016 at 12:30 am | Permalink

    “We should have fought back when they started dismantling our public school system, a public school system which, just a few decades before, had produced the engineers that put us on the moon, only to replace it with for-profit charters with no real interest in our kids or our communities.”

    So what? The United States is still a leader in tech development. While I believe that quality public education is essential to an economically vibrant society, I don’t believe that schools were significantly better back in the 50s and 60s than now, particularly in minority and rural areas.

    That’s just liberal revisionism. There are better ways to argue for public education than attempting to create a past that didn’t exist.

  5. EOS
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 4:04 am | Permalink

    The investigation into the Clinton Foundation has been ongoing. FBI officials have said that an indictment is likely, barring significant obstruction from the Justice Department. Wikileaks dumps have been corroborated by the laptops of multiple Clinton advisors. They also have evidence that Hillary’s servers were hacked by foreign entities at least 5 times. The pay to play tactics allowed the Clintons to leverage State Department policies as the means to enrich their personal finances. You will have to explain to your kids why you enthusiastically supported this criminal enterprise. They are watching.

  6. Posted November 3, 2016 at 4:10 am | Permalink

    Dude, give it up. What do you hope to achieve here besides some level of self-satisfaction?

    “I really stuck to Mark Maynard and all those godless heathens on that site.”

    Must be better than sex.

  7. Anonymous
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 5:20 am | Permalink

    I remember a time when EOS said that he would not be voting for Trump because of his character. What changed?

  8. Posted November 3, 2016 at 5:35 am | Permalink

    Donald J. Trump is merely a vessel of God’s plan to criminalize abortion, force all to homeschool and provide free guns to all Americans.

    We cannot question God’s unwavering judgement.

  9. Anonymous
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 8:46 am | Permalink

    EOS was always going to vote for Trump. I was just embarrassed. He’s no longer embarrassed.

  10. Mr. X
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 9:00 am | Permalink

    Pertinent headline from fivethirtyeight.com on October 30:

    “The Cubs Have A Smaller Chance Of Winning Than Trump Does”

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-cubs-have-a-smaller-chance-of-winning-than-trump-does/

  11. Eel
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 9:07 am | Permalink

    In Trump’s defense, he did finally get a big newspaper endorsement.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/11/01/the-kkks-official-newspaper-has-endorsed-donald-trump-for-president/?tid=sm_fb

  12. EOS
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    I think I said both candidates had serious flaws. Trump is an idiot, but Clinton is evil. My hope is to vote 3rd party, but if Michigan is in play, I may vote Trump. Nothing is changed except Clinton no longer has a 2 digit lead in the polls. He is the lesser of two evils, but neither is a good choice.

  13. Zoe209
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 9:37 am | Permalink

    Clinton is more evil than Trump? Really? Clinton is bought and paid for, I’ll give you that. The only reason Trump isn’t is that he inherited a big ole chunk of change and has managed to do a grand total of zero useful things with it.

  14. Lynne
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 9:43 am | Permalink

    I am going to stick it out. I am going to do what I can although I can’t afford to take time off of work right now. I am grateful that you are being so generous with your time, Mark. I am donating to the campaign and will be donating time on the weekend.

  15. Jennifer Schlicht
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 10:13 am | Permalink

    One on one conversations are far and away the most effective tool to change minds and to nudge folks to the polls. So if you can’t, like Mark said… Talk to those you know. Because I read that article too, and am getting frightened.

    This is more than just anyone but Trump (though seriously, that should be enough). Michigan voting for Sanders isn’t going to mean anything if we don’t elect the person he endorsed and is campaigning for. There is a reason. We can have progress, or we can roll back this country to unprecedented degrees. Come on, Michigan.

  16. Ripped from the pages of Facebook
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 10:14 am | Permalink

    Andrew Claydon: “Hey kids, you don’t have to vote for Hilary. You can vote straight ticket instead.”

  17. John Galt
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 10:21 am | Permalink

    Your post didn’t help. Trump now has a 22% chance of winning Michigan according to 538.

  18. City watch
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 10:54 am | Permalink

    Go house to house in your own neighborhoods and coffee houses and get out the vote.

  19. jean henry
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

    Some balance re poll bounces and data capture. This was heartening. To the degree that I’m prepared relax enough to be heartened yet…
    https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/11/01/beware-phantom-swings-why-dramatic-swings-in-the-p/

  20. Obee Hamilton
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 1:25 pm | Permalink

    A few days ago, 538 said Trump had a better chance of being elected president than the Cubs had of winning the World Series. Ruh Roh.

  21. Posted November 3, 2016 at 3:25 pm | Permalink

    Trump is a pretty evil guy. That much has been established for several decades.

    You’d have to be a complete idiot not to see that.

    But then, there are people who think the world is 4,000 years old.

  22. Lynne
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 5:06 pm | Permalink

    Dirt Bag, yeah. I honestly do not know how to connect with many Trump supporters. I have been trying. My cousin suggested that I should ask them why they were voting for Trump and then just listen. So I tried that. It was nice to give oneself permission not to argue but some of the reasons I heard were terrifying. They were

    1. Obama is a Muslim and wants to put our country under sharia law. Clinton isn’t a Muslim but is on board with this plan.
    2. Clinton hates Muslims and is going to bomb them
    3. Putin won’t respect a woman
    4. Clinton is a liar.
    5. Clinton is going to take away guns.
    6. Clinton is frail and weak and has massive health problems
    7. Bill Clinton is a rapist
    8. Trump is going to keep Christians from being persecuted.
    9. Clinton is part of the New World Order, along with moderate republicans. (Bernie, btw, was plant. Part of the New World Order running as a Democrat in order to trick people)
    10. “My husband is in the military and has a top secret clearance and he knows things. Things I can’t tell you about. But bad things. Clinton is evil. Just trust me.”

    I honestly cannot think of any arguments to any of those things that don’t involve presenting facts that have already been rejected. It really would be like arguing with someone who thinks the world is 4000 years old. Still, I have to admit that the thought crossed my mind to run a third party candidate who just lies to people and tells them what they want to hear. I wonder how that would go.

  23. jean henry
    Posted November 3, 2016 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    538 Cubs prediction was when they were down 3:1. Presidency is not best out of 7. I will say Dems are like Cubs Fans in that they seem incapable of believing that they are ahead and may win.

  24. Jesus Saves
    Posted November 4, 2016 at 12:28 am | Permalink

    It is astounding that the serial groper on his third marriage with numerous bankruptcies and bilked contracts who screwed the public out of more than a billion dollars in tax revenues and boasted of it in a Presidential debate is considered simply and “idiot” and “not evil” by professed “Christians.”

    As opposed to the woman who has only been married once, attends a Methodist Church, led a Senate prayer group and, despite career and life goals, raised a daughter who, by all accounts, has turned out quite well, AND paid her taxes. She is considered “evil” by professed Christians.

    I think that, of the two, despite the massive failings of the former and the debatable failings of the latter, Clinton is the one most likely to be express Christian ideals in a general sense.

    Don’t ask me why I think that.

  25. Robert
    Posted November 4, 2016 at 2:52 pm | Permalink

    Michigan is considered the second most likely state to make the difference in Trump’s favor. If Trump wins Michigan, odds will be that he can put together the 270 electoral college votes to win the presidency. Only Pennsylvania is more likely to be the difference maker in Trump’s favor. If Trump wins there, the Democrats can kiss their hopes goodbye.

    On the other hand, Trump will need to win Florida and North Carolina. If Hillary can manage to edge him out in either of these states, he will have an almost impossible task of gathering the necessary 270 electoral college votes.

    Are you going to be doing an election eve live blog, Mark?

  26. Martin
    Posted November 6, 2016 at 5:33 pm | Permalink

    I do have to say that both candidates have character flaws but Trump has a much better tax plan. Hillary’s tax plan is doom for all. Don’t buy that crap about a tax on the rich. Just the continued socialization of America. Why would anyone want to give the government more money? They already squander everything they are given.

  27. Lynne
    Posted November 6, 2016 at 9:42 pm | Permalink

    When you really look at their tax plans, it seems obvious to me that Clinton has the better tax plan for our country. John Green has a pretty good analysis.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgicDQHbV3M

  28. Loser Larson
    Posted November 7, 2016 at 5:39 am | Permalink

    “Why would anyone want to give the government more money? They already squander everything they are given.”

    This certainly relieves one of having to know anything at all about expenditures by the US Federal Government.

    Why know anything? Knowing things makes you “one of of them.”

    Stop knowing. Knowing is bad. Education is bad.

    We will all die.

  29. iRobert
    Posted November 7, 2016 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    Latest polls suggest Hillary still is holding on to enough support that she will keep Michigan as long as turnout among that support is good. If the story is the same or better in Pennsylvania, Trump has almost no way of assembling the 270.

2 Trackbacks

  1. By Get Out the Vote, Ypsilanti! on November 3, 2016 at 9:45 pm

    […] « With the race tightening in Michigan, it’s time to make a stand against Trump and ever… […]

  2. […] on Tuesday, while reinforcing just how imperative it is that they cast their ballots, seeing as how Michigan is somehow now a swing state. Between the two of us, we probably knocked on about 80 doors and talked with about two dozen […]

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