For those of you who might have missed it, what with all the hoopla about the Oscars, our Alt State Department issued a list earlier this evening of those GOP Representatives who, according to the data, may be most vulnerable in the upcoming midterm elections, and the state of Michigan has two Republican members of Congress on it; Dave Trott, of Michigan’s 11th district, who got rich foreclosing on the homes of Michiganders and now refuses to meet with his constituents, and retired General Jack Bergman, of Michigan’s 1st district, who was pretty much wasn’t even living in Michigan when he decided to run for office here, and has likewise apparently been hiding from the people he’s sworn to represent. I don’t know that either will be easy to beat, but one has to think that we’d at least have a shot. I know there are other factors to be considered, as circumstances change over time, but I’ve got $10 earmarked for each of their Democratic opponents, as soon as they become known, and I’m going to do my best to start covering them both more here on the blog, in hopes of helping flip those two seats. If you have any information on either one, let me know. And, if there are other seats that you think might be in play, I’d like to know that as well… So, now let’s strategize on how to flip these seats.
Here’s the entire Alt State Department list, for those of you who aren’t lucky enough to be living in the great state of Michigan.
7 Comments
Unfortunately ( or fortunately ) I don’t know much about Bergman, but Trott is another story. Let’s foreclose on this piece of work.
I like the idea of focusing on a few GOP Reps that look weak and really letting them have it. Trott’s been at the top of my list for a while. I know very little about Bergman, but, after doing a little research, it doesn’t looks like he’s done much so far to distinguish himself in Congress. He’s a general, though, while Trott made his fortune foreclosing on families. My guess is that he’s the weaker of the two.
Not to be a defeatist, but the data that Alt State Department is providing on Michigan’s 11th Congressional District is incomplete – it doesn’t recognize that while Trott only received 52.9% of the vote, another 4.38% went to Kerry Bentivolio (a Republican who formerly represented the 11th and who I believe ran as an independent), and another 2.5% went to the libertarians. So Trott’s vulnerability probably depends to some meaningful degree on whether or not there are other conservative candidates on the ballot.
Absolutely. The situations are more nuanced than this data suggests. It’s all fluid. It depends on who else is in the race, and how Trump is polling come election time. With all of that said, though, I still think that Trott’s seat should be targeted.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/03/06/what-calling-congress-achieves?mbid=gnep&intcid=gnep&google_editors_picks=true
I don’t think he cares much what people who aren’t his constituents think.
So, has anyone come out to say that they’re planning to run against Trott. Who do we know who lives in the 11th? Is anyone well positioned for it?
Just to get you thinking, here, according to Wikipedia, ate the major cities in the 11th….
Auburn Hills
Birmingham
Bloomfield Hills
Canton Township
Clawson
Commerce Township
Farmington
Highland Township
Lake Angelus
Livonia
Lyon Township
Milford Township
Northville/Northville Township
Novi/Novi Township
Plymouth/Plymouth Township
Rochester Hills
South Lyon
Troy
Walled Lake
Waterford
West Bloomfield
White Lake Township
Wixom