The stealing of the next Presidential election, and Michigan’s evolving role

A week or so ago, in a post about partisan redistricting, I noted that rumors were beginning to circulate concerning a Republican push to change the way Michigan’s electoral college votes are cast in presidential elections. Presently, as I suspect you know, Michigan has 16 electoral votes, and all of them go to the candidate who wins a majority of the state’s popular vote. Last November, for instance, when Obama took 54% of the popular vote in Michigan, he was awarded all 16 of our electoral votes, making him the sixth straight Democratic candidate for President to do so. And, as you can probably imagine, this doesn’t sit well with Republicans, who, for innumerable reasons, would prefer never to see another Democrat in the White House. So, it wasn’t hard for me to believe that the Republicans in Lansing, emboldened by the fact that they got away with murder during the lame duck session, may attempt to change the “winner take all” system in earnest, replacing it with a scheme in which electoral votes are divided among the state’s Congressional districts and allotted accordingly. (Legislation has been proposed it the past to this effect, but it’s never gone gotten traction.) To give you a sense as to what this would mean, if such a system had been in place this past November, 9 of Michigan’s 16 electoral votes would have gone to Romney, in spite of the fact that Obama had won the statewide popular vote by 10%. (This, of course, is due to the fact that the Republican legislature has redrawn the district lines in such a way as to not only ensure conservative victories for the foreseeable future, but marginalize voters in more densely-packed urban centers by essentially devaluing their votes relative to those of voters in predominantly conservative, suburban areas.)

But there’s good news… Governor Snyder says that, if this this were to happen, it would be some time off, as it’s not something that he’s pushing. But, then again, he also said that right-to-work legislation wasn’t ‘on (his) agenda,’ and we all saw what happened there.

Here, for those of you who are still inclined to believe him, is what Snyder had to say to the Associate Press:

…Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder told The Associated Press on Tuesday that he “could go either way” on the change and doesn’t plan to push it. But he said it’s a reasonable issue to debate and that he prefers that leaders discuss it well before the next presidential election.

“It could be done in a thoughtful (way) over the next couple years and people can have a thoughtful discussion,” Snyder said…

Based on how right-to-work went down, I think we need to assume that something similar will happen here, and plan accordingly. We need to assume that the Republicans will do whatever they can, no matter how loathsome, to see their agenda furthered… And, if you don’t believe me, just ask the people of Virginia, where, just a few days ago, Republicans in their legislature, taking advantage of the fact that one of their Democratic colleagues was in D.C. for Obama’s inauguration, giving them the slight edge that they needed vote-wise, pushed a contentious redistricting bill through the legislature without debate, and advanced a plan that would see their electoral votes for President distributed by Congressional district, as outlined above. Here, with more on that, is a clip from Talking Points Memo:

…Virginia’s bill, which emerged from a subcommittee on a tie vote Wednesday, would award the state’s electoral votes by individual congressional districts, with its two at-large electors going to whichever candidate won the most districts. But the districts, which were redrawn under Republican control in 2010, are so gerrymandered that President Obama would have won just four votes to Mitt Romney’s nine despite handily winning the state’s popular vote. As Richie noted, the result would be to massively water down Democratic votes concentrated into a few urban districts — many of them cast by African Americans — while boosting the impact of whiter and more rural districts.

“It is basically an obvious attempt by the Republican senator who proposed it and the Republicans who are backing it to completely distort the outcome of Virginia’s presidential electors,” Devin McCarthy, a research fellow for FairVote told TPM. “It would effectively guarantee Republicans at least 8 votes in Virginia no matter what happened in a national election, whereas this year they won 0.”…

In addition to Virginia and Michigan, it should be noted that Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are also considering similar legislation. And, here’s an interesting factoid… If all six of those states, which are currently controlled by Republicans, had changed over to such a system prior to the 2012 election, “Romney would have won the electoral college despite losing the popular vote by nearly four points.”

I’m not adverse to the idea of reconsidering how we elect our President. Personally I think that it might be worth considering a nationwide popular vote. But I don’t think the solution is allowing one party to game the system by constructing Congressional districts that are essentially unlosable, and then leveraging that fact to keep a Republican in the White House in perpetuity. (It should be noted that all of this talk of electoral college reform is taking place in states governed by Republicans that typically vote Democrat for President. This, in other words, isn’t an across-the-board push for reform. This is about gaming the system to extract electoral votes from blue states, while keeping the status quo in red states.)

The bottom line is that we need to kill this before it gets off the ground, folks. Any ideas as to how we do that? I know it would be an uphill battle, but how about launching a coordinated nationwide movement for a non-partisan federal organization, like the one they have in Canada, which is responsible for administering our federal elections, and ensuring a level playing field? I know it would be an uphill battle, as all of the red states would fight back, claiming “states rights,” but perhaps it’s a fight worth having.

The following image, which comes courtesy of our friends at the Center for American Progress, does a pretty good job of illustrating what we’re up against.

Posted in Michigan, Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 23 Comments

Totally Quotable Clementine: sisterly advice edition

Clementine said this to her one year old brother yesterday, as he was struggling to get away from me mid-diaper change.

And, yes, that’s the secret to success in life… You have to know how to lay still, on a couch. If you can do that, good things will come to you.

[Previous editions of Totally Quotable Clementine can be found here.]

Posted in Mark's Life | Tagged , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Calling what happened during Michigan’s lame duck session “very, very bad,” former State Senator Joe Schwartz blames term limits and the unprecedented influence of corporate money

As we recently discussed, Michigan Radio, as part of their Issues & Ale series, hosted a panel discussion in Ypsilanti late last week on the subject of Michigan’s newly passed right-to-work legislation. The panel, which included former Republican State Senator Joe Schwartz, Kristin Dziczek, the Director of the Labor & Industry Group at the Center for Automotive Research (CAR), F. Vincent Vernuccio, the Director of Labor Policy at The Mackinac Center for Public Policy, and newly elected State Representative Gretchen Driskell, ran for approximately 90 minutes, and included any number of quotable moments. I was initially inclined to focus my attention, for the purposes of this blog post, on the ridiculously offensive contributions of the representative of the far-right Mackinac Center, who, judging from the response of the audience, everyone seemed to find worthy of considerable scorn, but I’ve since come to the realization that I have better things to do with my time than repeat the lies of a young political operative with a meaningless degree from Tom Monaghan’s ultra-right-wing Ave Maria School of Law. So, instead, I’ll be focusing on the comments made by Joe Schwartz. (I will tell you, though, that Vernuccio had the audacity at one point to suggest that the Machinac Center wouldn’t exist if there weren’t broad support across the state of Michigan for their activities – a claim which was instantly met with a unified wall of laughter and an enthusiastic chorus of “Koch brothers” from the audience, referencing, of course, the fact that Mackinac Center funding comes primarily from out-of-state billionaires, like the Koch brothers, who are supportive of the organization’s corporatist anti-tax, anti-labor agenda.)

There was a lot to like about the event, and I appreciate Michigan Radio’s attempt to tackle such a weighty issue. Sure, it was enormously frustrating, but I think we all knew that was going to be the case when we walked in and bought our beers. We knew that we weren’t going to leave feeling any better about the situation, and we knew that we weren’t likely to arrive at any solutions. Still, though, I picked up bits and pieces that I found incredibly valuable. And, as it turns out, most of these insights came from Joe Schwartz, who, having risen up through the Republican ranks before serving a term in Congress, knows a thing or two about how things are… or at least were… done in Lansing, before everything went to hell at the hands of the Tea Party.

Before sharing Schwartz’s quotes, I should probably mention that, from what I can tell, he now considers himself an Independent, having been forced from elected office by the rising tide on the far-right. So, what he says, I suppose, could be tinged with a hint of bitterness. Still, though, I find it incredibly interesting to hear what old-guard Michigan Republicans think of their party now. With that said, here’s the first of two videos. This one has to do primarily with term limits, and Schwartz’s belief that they’re directly responsible for the radicalization of his former party.

Here’s the transcript.

SCHWARTZ: “The numbers now, in the Senate especially… which is 24 to 12 (Democrat to Republican)… And there was a 10 or 12 seat (Republican) majority int he House as well. That’s a remedy for mischief in an inexperienced, term-limited legislature, where you have a lot of outside pressure, which I think you could probably identify… and so could I… which will remain nameless. And you have a whole bunch of legislators looking at the next election coming, which ain’t that far away, folks. Two years. It’s going to pass like nobody’s business. So the influence to do this… not only right-to-work, but so many other things that were done… to take away women’s rights… in the legislature… and some other things… are typical of term-limited legislatures. And I’ll say again – we’re trying. I’m in a group that’s trying to figure out a way to repeal term limits. Not that I want for people to stay a thousand years in the legislature. You’d have to be really crazy to stay a thousand years in the legislature… but to get some more experience there. And to rebuild our legislature to what it can be, and has been. The legislature is peopled by good people. There aren’t bad people. But it’s a sitution where there’s no leadership. There can’t be, because no one has been there long enough to lead. So, as a result, mistakes are made. And my hope is that, at some point, and it won’t be in my lifetime, but in most of your lieftimes, we will go back to a legislature where there are mentors… where there are people who have seen this happen before, and know it’s either going to work or not work, and people who can stand up to the Governor, whoever the Governor might be at any given time, and people who can resist a whole bunch of outside money that comes in, that thretens these people, especially threatens people with a primary – especially Republicans being primaried from the right. So the dynamic is complex. But a term-limited legislature cramming all of this stuff into a lame duck session was very, very bad.”

I know we’ve been talking a lot about gerrymandering lately, and how imperative it is that we change the way that redistricting is done in Michigan, to ensure that there’s a level playing field going forward, but, as Schwartz reminds us, that’s just part of the problem. It’s not enough to take the power of drawing district lines away from politicians. We also have to make it easier for politicians to stand up to the corporate interests that are constantly threatening to run other, “more conservative,” candidates against them in the primaries, if they don’t do what they’re told. And, as Schwartz says, we need the institutional memory that comes with years of service. While I can certainly sympathize with folks who fought for term limits, as I too am prone to fits of “vote the bums out” anger, I think, in this case, the cure is worse than the disease. The unintended consequences of term limits give us weaker, less experienced politicians, who are more likely to do the bidding of those with the resources to force them from office.

Back to the video… If you watch past the point where Schwartz speaks, you’ll hear Gretchen Driskell correcting Jack Lessenberry, who has, on several occasions, suggested that the unions forced Snyder to pursue the passage of right-to-work legislation when they sought to enshrine collective bargaining in the State’s constitution via Proposal 2. “I don’t believe that Proposal 2 caused the right-to-work vote in (the) lame duck (session),” said Driskell. “That was planned.” (If you’ll recall, RNC Finance Chair Ron Weiser was caught on tape admitting as much.) Driskell then went on to say, “My understanding is that the reason Proposal 2 was put out there was becasue there were so many bills that were being pushed through, and that was the only way to respond.” And she, of course, is right. The assault on labor in Michigan predated the campaign for Proposal 2 by quite some time. And, as such, it’s completely disingenuous to suggest that unions set everything in motion by overreaching against the advice of the Governor. That narrative needs to be put to rest once and for all.

And, with that, I give you the second video, which features Joe Schwartz demanding accountability from those in the MEDC responsible for politicizing the State’s Pure Michigan campaign, by tying it to the recently-passed right-to-work legislation, in a full-page ad in the Wall Street Journal.

SCHWARTZ: “There was a big time failure to communicate. And there should be clear policy in the Governor’s office… and I think there may well be… but it certainly wasn’t obeserved here. You don’t do something like that in an organization that is part of the office of the Governor. Quite frankly, I think the Director of the MEDC should tender his resignation. And the Governor can accept it or not accept it. But that was a horrible miscalculation… You can’t tollerate that. In the executive office, you cannot do it.”

How’s that for validation?

And, yes, I realize that I could have probably gotten 100x the traffic for this post if I’d focused on this second video, and run a headline saying, “Former State Senator Joe Schwartz Says Mike Finney Should be Terminated Over Wall Street Journal Ad,” but, the truth is, as much as I disagreed with the MEDC’s decision to politicize the Pure Michigan campaign, I don’t know that it would necessarily help to force Finney from office. First of all, I’m not convinced that the person to replace him would be any better. And, second, I actually like Mike. Sure, I wish that he’d focus a bit more on fostering small-scale entrepreneurship, instead of trying to lure the next Pfizer to Michigan, but, all in all, I think he’s trying to do the right thing for Michigan… And, speaking of fostering small-scale entrepreneurship, if you’re reading this, Mike, I’d like to invite you to come out on January 29 and hear Michael Shuman speak at the Community Capital Forum. The cost of attendance is only $25, and I suspect that the pay-off could be far greater than what we see from the $144,000 ad in the Wall Street Journal trumpeting the fact that we’re now an anti-union state. If you want, I can even pay for you.

Posted in Media, Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 28 Comments

Congratulations, Mr. President

[The text of his entire inauguration speech, which includes lots of awesome gay stuff, can be found here.]

Posted in Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 15 Comments

Celebrating the National Day of Service, and the legacy of Martin Luther King, by brandishing assault rifles at the Capitol

While thousands of good Americans turned out yesterday, at the President’s request, to commemorate the life of Martin Luther King by volunteering their time as part of our National Day of Service, devout gun lovers across the country decided to express their patriotic love for this country a bit differently. Instead of volunteering to help paint their local schools, or clean up their neighborhood parks, many of them decided to strap on their most impressive military-grade armaments, drive to their respective capitol buildings, and shout about God-given right… and pathological need… to be able to dispense lethal force at a moment’s notice. The following video, shot by our friend Bonnie Bucqueroux at the Lansing Online News, shows what transpired at the Michigan Capitol.

And, here, if you couldn’t make out all of the words, is the speech delivered from the steps of the Capitol by the man calling himself “Dave from Westland”:

“When I went to my first gun rally here in Lansing, in ’96 (or) ’97, we had no ability to conceal carry. No ability to open carry. No ability to buy a high-capacity standard semi-automatic rifle. No ability to buy a machine gun suppressor. And you had to try to retreat if someone broke into your home before you shot him. Those things are all changing. My last rally here, I was actually inside the Capitol with a rifle. I never would have believed it would have been possible, but it was through the efforts of people like yourselves, who took the time from their lives to fight for things that were important to them.”

Yes, my friends, things really do seem to be getting better all the time… Sure, there were a lot of shootings at gun shows on this, our nation’s first annual Gun Appreciation Day, but no one ever said that freedom didn’t have a cost. If we want to live in a society, as I know we all do, where we’re all able to buy assault rifles without background checks, fill them up with dozens of armor-pirecing rounds, and carry them into our local JC Penney, then we should expect that, every once in a while, someone’s going to get a freedom hole in their chest, right?

Sarcasm aside, how fucking stupid do you have to be to plan your ridiculous pro-gun action for the same weekend that sane people everywhere are commemorating the life of a great American civil rights leader who was, you know… SHOT TO DEATH?

Did no one say, “Maybe we should put this off until next weekend?”

But… who knows… maybe that’s exactly the message that they wanted to convey to this audience of angry white men. Maybe this wasn’t just about defending the 2nd amendment, but about reclaiming a weekend from that “sexual degenerate, (and) American-hating communist,” Martin Luther King. I hate to think it, but maybe it’s possible that the image of a threatening black man lying dead from a gunshot wound is exactly what these “patriots” want at the forefront of people’s minds.

Posted in Civil Liberties, Media, Michigan | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 13 Comments

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