super tuesday and the move away from clinton

It’s still too close to call, but my sense is that Obama is going to come out on top today, when the votes in all 24 states are counted. It just feels to me as though the tide is beginning to move in his favor. That’s certainly the case online. Influential Stanford professor Lawrence Lessig, hero of the technology set, released a video today in which he argues very persuasively against Clinton. He starts by saying that she would be bad for the Creative Commons, and it only gets worse from there. By the end, he’s calling her “Rovian,” and accusing her of “swiftboating” Obama. And, as if all that weren’t bad enough, Clinton came out today and further alienated the netroots by agreeing to debate on FOX News, something that the Democratic candidates had agreed long ago not to do. Here’s what the folks at the Daily Kos are saying about it.

…Apparently having realized they’ve lost the netroots and not giving a damn anymore, the Hillary campaign has decided they want to legitimize the right-wing propagandists on Fox News after all…

So, at this point, I don’t even think taht even an endorsement by Edwards would bring her back the Progressive voters she hemorrhaging. Of course, what happens here online, as we all know, doesn’t often translate too well to the real world. If it did, Howard Dean would be up for reelection come November, facing Ron Paul. So, who knows how things will play out? From where I sit, though, once Edwards dropped out and MoveOn members decided by an overwhelming majority to get behind Obama, something in the air changed. The differences between Obama and Clinton became more clear, and people started asking themselves if another Clinton presidency would really deliver the kind of significant change our country needs. My sense, and I could be wrong, is that the nomination is Obama’s to lose.

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7 Comments

  1. mark
    Posted February 5, 2008 at 10:16 pm | Permalink

    Speaking of the Edwards endorsement, can someone explain to me why he decided to wait until after Super Tuesday? The only explanation I can come up with is that he wanted to put his bet on the winning candidate, and that thought depresses the hell out of me…

  2. egpenet
    Posted February 5, 2008 at 11:01 pm | Permalink

    Don’t count votes … count percentages … because it’s the number of delegates that is the key. Yes, voters like to jump on bandwagons (can’t use the word “surge” anymore).

    I am still unconvinced the Dems will have a candidate, much less a ticket, before the convention. The Dems do not have a platform, they have few clear ideas, both top runners are weak on foreign policy AND the economy. Is McCain any better … NO.

    The word on TheStreet.com … the financial website of Jim Cramer … is the warning that as our economy slows, as the Fed lowers rates tempting inflation … the Chinesee factories and their workers are beginning to demand more money for their goods and their labor, materials are more expensive, and their currency is higher vs. the buck.

    The Dems are sure to raise taxes, which is certain to kill the golden goose. And if McCain suspects that the goose is carrying H5N1 … he’ll bomb the nest. Either way … we’re screwed!

  3. egpenet
    Posted February 5, 2008 at 11:11 pm | Permalink

    I just now sat down in my private library (the one with the porcelain chair) and opened last week’s NYT Sunday Magazine … the one with Bernard Kuchner’s picture on the cover … lo and behold, Matt Bai has an article on back room deals, where he poses what could happen if there is no clear Dem front-runner after Super Tuesday (according to delegate count). Great article!

    G’night.

  4. egpenet
    Posted February 5, 2008 at 11:19 pm | Permalink

    One question …

    Why couldn’t Obama carry Massachusetts after being endorsed by the Governor AND the Kennedys? My opinion is that the Kennedy thing backfired. I think the voters out East said quite loudly that “We knew Jack Kennedy. And Barak Obama is no Jack Kennedy!” echoing the retort of a forgotten VP political debater. That’s my opinion. But I think Camelot is Camelot … and leave it be.

    Barak has to find his own metaphor. And he should! He’s MY choice … as VP with Al Gore at the top of the ticket. (Come’on Tipper, let Al come out an’play!)

  5. Mr. X
    Posted February 6, 2008 at 8:47 am | Permalink

    Obama picked up more states, but Clinton got more delegates. She took Mass, NY, CA. It’s going to be one hell of a convention.

  6. Edwards Fan
    Posted February 6, 2008 at 8:51 am | Permalink

    No idea why Edwards waited. If he wanted to help Obama, he would have given his endorsement. He must have been thinking that Clinton would win Super Tuesday, even with his endorsement of her opponent, making him look unimportant. He should have given the endorsement though.

  7. Meta
    Posted February 6, 2008 at 12:02 pm | Permalink

    Some are reporting Obama now has more delegates.

    http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0208/8358.html?reddit

    In a surprise twist after a chaotic Super Tuesday, Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) passed Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) in network tallies of the number of delegates the candidates racked up last night.

    The Obama camp now projects topping Clinton by 13 delegates, 847 to 834.

    NBC News, which is projecting delegates based on the Democratic Party’s complex formula, figures Obama will wind up with 840 to 849 delegates, versus 829 to 838 for Clinton…

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